AURAVESTIA

AI-Powered Investment Intelligence
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Track Record
VERIFIED · REAL MARKET CLOSE DATA
709 predictions verified.90.3% accuracy.

Every call published before market open, verified against actual closes. No cherry-picking. No hindsight edits.

90.3%
accuracy
Total Predictions
0
Win Rate
0%
Symbols Covered
0
Win Streak
0
Accuracy by Time Horizon
High accuracy across every time horizon

From 7-day to 30-day windows, performance remains consistently strong in the 89–91% range.

7-Day
91.1%
287
Wins
28
Losses
315
Total
14-Day
89.6%
309
Wins
36
Losses
345
Total
30-Day
89.8%
44
Wins
5
Losses
49
Total
Market Cap Segments
Accuracy by market-cap segment

Strongest in large-cap and mega-cap names most actively traded by institutions.

Micro/Small-Cap
Under $10
38W · 6L
86.4%
Small/Mid-Cap
$10 - $50
274W · 35L
88.7%
Mid/Large-Cap
$50 - $200
244W · 19L
92.8%
Mega-Cap
Over $200
62W · 5L
92.5%
Prediction Log
Verified prediction log
Symbol
Horizon
Current
Predicted
Actual
Result
Precision
Near-perfect prediction calls
SCHW14d
Predicted$104.50
Actual$105.08
99.45% precise
RJF7d
Predicted$170.50
Actual$169.89
99.64% precise
VOO7d
Predicted$635.50
Actual$636.22
99.89% precise
IBM7d
Predicted$290.00
Actual$289.05
99.67% precise
TFC30d
Predicted$51.25
Actual$52.32
97.95% precise
RLI30d
Predicted$59.50
Actual$60.87
97.70% precise
ELV7d
Predicted$342.50
Actual$340.60
99.44% precise
UNH7d
Predicted$286.50
Actual$284.18
99.19% precise
ABT7d
Predicted$109.50
Actual$112.28
97.46% precise
Radical Transparency
Where we missed — 69 of 709

We publish misses because trust comes from transparency, not perfection.

TSLA7d
MISS
Predicted
$445.00
Actual
$406.01
Error
8.8%
Called: Bullish (+1.9%)
High-volatility momentum reversal
MSFT7d
MISS
Predicted
$485.00
Actual
$414.19
Error
14.6%
Called: Bullish (+0.7%)
Post-earnings market correction
INDB14d
MISS
Predicted
$77.50
Actual
$86.01
Error
11.0%
Called: Bearish (-0.8%)
Regional bank sector rotation
PLD30d
MISS
Predicted
$125.00
Actual
$141.51
Error
13.2%
Called: Bearish (-1.7%)
REIT sector recovery rally

Misses concentrate in highly volatile mega-caps during earnings windows. Confidence scoring flagged 73% of failed calls with lower confidence.

Competitive Benchmark
Competitive benchmark comparison

Benchmarked against common industry performance ranges.

Wall Street analyst consensus
52-58%
Quantitative hedge funds (top decile)
55-65%
Retail prediction platforms
45-55%
Academic ML models (published)
60-72%
Auravestia AI
90.3%
Methodology
Success criteria

A prediction is counted as successful if the target-date close lands inside the predicted high-low band, OR if the directional call is correct.

This standard is stricter than direction-only benchmarking used by many quantitative teams.

Data integrity
  • All predictions generated before their target dates
  • Actual prices sourced from verified market close data
  • Every prediction in the period is included — no cherry-picking
  • Duplicates removed; N/A (delisted/halted) excluded from win rate
  • Raw records are available for independent audit
Model Evolution
Model 1 was just the starting point
v1
Model 1
Jan 23 – Feb 4, 2026
90.3%
  • 14 proprietary research modules
  • Multi-layer reasoning framework
  • 7-day, 14-day & 30-day horizons
  • 226 unique stocks tracked
Status: Report complete — results verified
LIVE NOW
v2
Model 2
Launched mid-Feb 2026
Next gen
  • Enhanced prediction system with deeper signals
  • Improved analytical architecture
  • Expanded stock coverage & real-time data
  • Built on Model 1 learnings — iterating on outcomes
Status: Live — collecting results
Get Started
90.3% VERIFIED ACCURACY
Ready to invest with institutional-grade AI?

Founder pricing: $25.99/month · Locked through 2027

Verified results
709 predictions tracked
Auditable data